In 2024, total costs for domestic road transport (excluding fuel costs) increased by an average of 3.9% to 5.2%. For cross-border transport, the increase was between 3.0% and 4.8%. These costs include labor costs, depreciation, insurance, repairs, and maintenance. Expectations for 2025 show that the increase will continue, with estimates for domestic transport between 3.9% and 5.1%, and cross-border transport between 3.6% and 4.6%. For entrepreneurs, this means that good cost analysis and price calculations are essential to remain profitable.
Table of contents
The role of fuel costs: outlook for 2025
Fuel costs remain an unpredictable factor. Although there was a slight increase of 0.8% in 2024, analysts expect a decrease of as much as 5.8% for 2025. Carriers that use fuel clauses can partially hedge against price fluctuations. At the same time, the decrease in fuel costs in 2025 may offer some relief, but companies remain warned to take into account unpredictable global oil price developments.
Labor costs: A significant factor in the cost increase
One of the biggest challenges in the transport sector remains the increase in labor costs, which in 2024 was on average 5.47% higher than in 2023. A further increase of 5.52% is estimated for 2025. Labor costs are one of the most important cost items in transport, especially in a tight labor market where qualified personnel are scarce. The sector must therefore continue to innovate, possibly through digitization and automation, to compensate for the shortage of drivers.
Electric vehicles: an Important trend with cost benefits in the long Term
The transition to electric vehicles is an important development in the transport sector. Although the cost increase for electric vehicles in 2024 averaged 3.7% and is estimated at 2.9% for 2025, electric vehicles offer interesting benefits in terms of sustainability and lower operational costs in the long term. For companies considering making their fleet more sustainable, now is a good time to consider switching, especially given the increasing pressure to reduce CO₂ emissions.
Intermodal transport: changing market dynamics
Intermodal transport, which uses combinations such as road and rail transport or inland shipping, is gaining popularity. However, cost development differs greatly per type of transport. This type of transport, in which transport via water and rail is often outsourced to specialized operators, is influenced by both cost increases and market conditions. This transport method offers advantages in efficiency, especially over longer distances, but requires close cooperation with specialized partners.
Conclusion: preparing for 2025 and beyond
With cost increases on various fronts, 2025 will be a year in which companies in the transport sector must plan more strategically than ever. Innovation, cost control, and responding to trends such as digitization and sustainability will be crucial to remain competitive. Companies that look ahead and invest wisely in their fleet, personnel, and partnerships will be best prepared for the future.
